Garden City, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

188
FXUS63 KDDC 022242
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
442 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Elevated fire weather for western counties this afternoon

- Rain/Snow chances Tuesday night into Wednesday

- Staying mild throughout the week and into next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 220 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

20z surface observations showed dry and breezy conditions across
the western third of the forecast area. From about Route 83 on
west, humidity levels are in the 15-20% range, with an overlap
of 25-35 mph winds. This is leading to an elevated fire weather
risk this afternoon across those areas. Any potential fires
could be quick to spread. Humidity is just high enough though to
preclude critical fire weather spread, therefore any Red Flag
headlines are not issued at this time.

A weak system will swing southward from the northern High Plains
Tuesday night and into Wednesday. Given the origin of the
system, moisture will be rather limited with its passage.
Precipitation chances are 20-40%, mainly across northern and
eastern counties. P-type is a bit of a challenge as forecast
soundings largely show surface temperatures mostly above
freezing for much of Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, but
temperatures fall quickly aloft. After coordination with
neighboring offices, went with a rain/snow mix given a warmer
surface and sub-freezing temperatures aloft. Given the light
nature of any potential precipitation, and temperatures
generally above freezing, accumulations will be little to none.

Temperatures will continue to be above normal levels throughout
this week and into next weekend, aided by ridging and 850 mb
temperatures in the 10-15C range. High temperatures will be in
the 50s and 60s throughout the week and into this weekend. Low
temperatures will be in mid 20s to low/mid 30s during this
stretch. Precipitation chances are nearly zero through the rest
of the forecast period beyond Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period.
Current thin cloud cover blankets the terminals despite not
appearing on the current METARs. Skies will clear into the evenings
as winds slowly shift northwesterly. Near the end of the period more
cloud cover is forecast to move in, but VFR conditions are expected
to persist.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Bennett
AVIATION...KBJ