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Garden City, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Garden City KS
National Weather Service Forecast for: Garden City KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Dodge City, KS
Updated: 5:23 pm CDT Mar 30, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly between 10pm and 3am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. East northeast wind 8 to 10 mph.
Chance Rain


Monday

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. East northeast wind 6 to 16 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon.
Mostly Sunny


Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Breezy, with a south southeast wind around 21 mph.
Partly Cloudy
and Breezy

Tuesday

Tuesday: Patchy blowing dust after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Windy, with a south southwest wind 22 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph.
Partly Sunny
and Breezy
then Patchy
Blowing Dust
and Windy
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 17 to 22 mph becoming northwest 11 to 16 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Slight Chance
Showers and
Breezy

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 65.
Sunny


Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Mostly Cloudy


Thursday

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of rain.  Partly sunny, with a high near 57.
Slight Chance
Rain

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Slight Chance
Rain

Lo 31 °F Hi 64 °F Lo 41 °F Hi 80 °F Lo 35 °F Hi 65 °F Lo 32 °F Hi 57 °F Lo 31 °F

Fire Weather Watch
 

Tonight
 
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly between 10pm and 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. East northeast wind 8 to 10 mph.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. East northeast wind 6 to 16 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Breezy, with a south southeast wind around 21 mph.
Tuesday
 
Patchy blowing dust after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Windy, with a south southwest wind 22 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 17 to 22 mph becoming northwest 11 to 16 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 65.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Thursday
 
A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 57.
Thursday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Friday
 
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52.
Friday Night
 
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Saturday
 
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48.
Saturday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Sunday
 
A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 54.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Garden City KS.

Weather Forecast Discussion
314
FXUS63 KDDC 302251
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
551 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Minimal rain chances (20-30%) for southwest Kansas tonight.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures return Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

WV imagery indicates a weak upper level shortwave trough transitioning
eastward through the Central Plains. Near the surface, high pressure
is spreading south-southeast across the Northern Plains into the
Central Plains.

Another round of lower end rain chances (20-30%) are expected across
portions of southwest Kansas late tonight/early Monday as the SREF
indicates a relatively weak upper level shortwave trough pushing
east through the Southern Rockies this evening, then out into the
high plains of eastern Colorado overnight. With sufficient mid-level
moisture present with the system itself, areas of light rain development
will be possible late tonight as a series of H5 vort maxima eject
out of the Colorado Rockies, interacting with an easterly upslope
flow across the high plains of eastern Colorado into far western
Kansas. This is suggested by CAMs and the latest HREF showing a 10-30%
probability of 6-hr QPF exceeding a 0.1 of an inch across portions
of west central and southwest Kansas by daybreak Monday. Afterward,
drier conditions are forecast through mid-week despite medium range
ensembles pointing to upper level troughing deepening across the
Intermountain West. An upper level shortwave trough embedded within
the larger scale trough will rotate northeastward out of the Southern
Rockies late Tuesday, and up into the Upper Midwest Wednesday. In
response, low pressure developing in eastern Colorado Tuesday afternoon
is projected to deepen while beginning to accelerate northeastward
toward the Upper Midwest Tuesday night, setting up a drier westerly
downslope flow across much of western Kansas, pushing any precip
chances mainly off to our east.

Near normal temperatures can be expected again tonight as surface
high pressure is slow to shift east through the Central Plains,
doing little to erode the colder airmass across the Western High
Plains. Look for lows generally in the 30s(F) tonight with the
latest HREF indicating a 50-60% probability of temperatures dropping
below 40F near and along the Oklahoma border to better than a 90%
probability of less than 40F elsewhere to the north. More seasonal
high temperatures return Monday as departing surface high pressure
gives way to southeasterlies, drawing in slightly warmer air with
H85 temperatures climbing up around 5C in central Kansas to near 15C
in extreme southwest Kansas. With the HREF painting a 90% probability
of temperatures exceeding 55F in central Kansas to a better than
90% probability of topping 60F in extreme southwest Kansas, look
for afternoon highs generally up into the 60s(F). Highs well up
into the 70s(F) to potentially pushing the 80s(F) can be expected
Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 550 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

VFR conditions are expected prevail through the TAF period even with
light showers moving into Kansas early in the period due to a weak
low pressure system. While all sites have the potential to see -RA
or VCSH, only GCK has a large enough chance (>30% via ensembles) for
an inclusion in the TAFs. With the light showers, all sites will see
lowered cloud cover for the bulk of the period, but it is not
expected to drop flight conditions. With the passage of the weak
system, the light winds will shift from the northeast to the
southeast through the period with the winds strengthening at the
very end of the period.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
evening for KSZ043-061>063-074>077-084>087.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...KBJ
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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